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德國13歲男孩為美國宇航局糾錯
German schoolboy, 13, corrects NASA's asteroid figures: paper
[ 2008-04-17 15:27 ]

德國13歲男孩為美國宇航局糾錯

A 13-year-old German schoolboy corrected NASA's estimates on the chances of an asteroid colliding with Earth, a German newspaper reported Tuesday, after spotting the boffins had miscalculated.

A 13-year-old German schoolboy corrected NASA's estimates on the chances of an asteroid colliding with Earth, a German newspaper reported Tuesday, after spotting the boffins had miscalculated.

Nico Marquardt used telescopic findings from the Institute of Astrophysics in Potsdam (AIP) to calculate that there was a 1 in 450 chance that the Apophis asteroid will collide with Earth, the Potsdamer Neuerster Nachrichten reported.

NASA had previously estimated the chances at only 1 in 45,000 but told its sister organization, the European Space Agency (ESA), that the young whizzkid had got it right.

The schoolboy took into consideration the risk of Apophis running into one or more of the 40,000 satellites orbiting Earth during its path close to the planet on April 13 2029.

Those satellites travel at 3.07 kilometres a second (1.9 miles), at up to 35,880 kilometres above earth -- and the Apophis asteroid will pass by earth at a distance of 32,500 kilometres.

If the asteroid strikes a satellite in 2029, that will change its trajectory making it hit earth on its next orbit in 2036.

Both NASA and Marquardt agree that if the asteroid does collide with earth, it will create a ball of iron and iridium 320 metres wide and weighing 200 billion tonnes, which will crash into the Atlantic Ocean.

The shockwaves from that would create huge tsunami waves, destroying both coastlines and inland areas, whilst creating a thick cloud of dust that would darken the skies indefinitely.

The 13-year old made his discovery as part of a regional science competition for which he submitted a project entitled: "Apophis -- The Killer Astroid."

(Agencies)

德國一家報紙于本周二報道,德國一名13歲男孩發(fā)現(xiàn)并糾正了美國宇航局有關(guān)一顆小行星與地球相撞幾率的計算錯誤。

據(jù)德國《Potsdamer Neuerster Nachrichten》報道,這個名叫尼科?馬夸特的男孩根據(jù)波茨坦天體物理研究所天文望遠(yuǎn)鏡獲得的數(shù)據(jù)資料,計算出阿波菲斯行星撞擊地球的幾率為1/450,而非美國宇航局之前估算的1/45000。

美國宇航局得知這一消息后,告知“兄弟”機構(gòu)歐洲航天局這個“小神童”的計算結(jié)果是正確的。

馬夸特考慮到了阿波菲斯行星在2029年4月13日靠近地球時與一顆或多顆圍繞地球運轉(zhuǎn)的衛(wèi)星相撞的可能性。目前地球周圍的衛(wèi)星達(dá)四萬顆。

這些衛(wèi)星位于地球上方3.588萬公里,運行速度為每秒3.07公里,而阿波菲斯行星則預(yù)計將在距離地球3.25萬公里的地方經(jīng)過。

如果這顆小行星于2029年撞上一顆衛(wèi)星,它的運行軌道就會改變,那么它很可能將在2036年下一次靠近地球時與地球相撞。

美國宇航局與馬夸特一致認(rèn)為,如果阿波菲斯行星真的與地球相撞,將會產(chǎn)生一個直徑320米、重達(dá)2000億噸的鐵銥合金球,墜入大西洋。

而由此產(chǎn)生的沖擊波會引發(fā)海嘯巨浪,摧毀附近的島嶼和內(nèi)陸地區(qū),同時厚厚的塵埃云會長時間地籠罩在天空中。

馬夸特的這個新發(fā)現(xiàn)來自他參加一項地區(qū)科學(xué)競賽時提交的參賽項目,他的參賽項目名為“阿波菲斯——一顆殺手行星”。

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