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中國(guó)領(lǐng)導(dǎo)人將實(shí)施經(jīng)濟(jì)改革

China's leaders to meet on economic reform

中國(guó)日?qǐng)?bào)網(wǎng) 2013-11-14 11:45

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中國(guó)領(lǐng)導(dǎo)人將實(shí)施經(jīng)濟(jì)改革

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China's new leadership holds a key meeting this weekend that state media are trumpeting as a likely "watershed" for economic reform, but analysts caution details of its decisions are likely to be vague and implementation gradual.

The four-day session of the full 376-strong Communist Party Central Committee begins Saturday at a closely guarded private hotel in Beijing.

Known as the Third Plenum, it traditionally sets the economic tone for a government's five-year term.

In the past, such meetings have been used to signal far-reaching changes in how China does business, and state-run media say that anticipation has been building.

The official Xinhua news agency proclaimed that the plenum "is expected to be a watershed as drastic economic policies will be unveiled".

Other reports have singled out land reform as a key issue, while a government think-tank called for dismantling the residency registration system known as hukou, which restricts access to medical insurance and other benefits for migrants.

Cai Hongbin, a professor at Peking University's Guanghua School of Management, said key issues such as urbanisation, the social safety net, taxation and financial reforms would be discussed.

"Historically, China has implemented ground-breaking reforms when the economy has faced some serious challenges," Nomura International economists in Hong Kong wrote in a report.

"However, we believe that pressures are not yet sufficient to demand such rapid implementation, while the reforms are more complex than they have been in the past."

Xinhua quoted experts including professors at the party's central school as saying any political reform would aim at "strengthening, not weakening" the organisation's leadership.

Cai said that, ultimately, economic reform cannot truly succeed without changes to how the government acts, such as reducing local authorities' interference in business.

"You can talk about all sorts of economic policy changes, in the end whether these policy changes will make a serious impact on the Chinese economy really depends on whether we will have serious government reforms," he said.

China's leadership says the economy, the world's second largest, needs to move away from reliance on state-financed investment projects and unleash the power of consumers and other private actors to propel growth.

Yao Wei, economist in Hong Kong, said: "The real test of Beijing's reform resolution will be the action taken in the following three to six months."

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中國(guó)的新領(lǐng)導(dǎo)層11月舉行了為期四天的大會(huì),由376名共產(chǎn)黨中央委員會(huì)成員參加,為中國(guó)政府未來五年內(nèi)的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展制定計(jì)劃和方針,為發(fā)展奠定基調(diào)。


在過去,這樣的會(huì)議標(biāo)志著中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的深刻變革。新華社宣稱,十八屆三中全會(huì)預(yù)計(jì)將成為經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的分水嶺,新的經(jīng)濟(jì)政策將被揭曉。










其他報(bào)告指出這次會(huì)議將土地改革作為一個(gè)重要的議題。而政府的智囊機(jī)構(gòu)呼吁廢除戶口登記制度,這個(gè)制度對(duì)于外出打工者來說,限制了他們享受醫(yī)療保險(xiǎn)和其他福利的權(quán)利。

北京大學(xué)光華管理學(xué)院教授蔡宏斌說,會(huì)議上會(huì)討論一些重要的議題,例如,城市化、社會(huì)保障、稅收和金融改革。


“在歷史上,當(dāng)經(jīng)濟(jì)面臨一些嚴(yán)峻的挑戰(zhàn)時(shí),中國(guó)會(huì)實(shí)施突破性的改革?!币按鍑?guó)際駐香港的經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家在一份報(bào)告中寫道。


“但是,我們相信,要求如此快速地去實(shí)現(xiàn)改革,壓力真的很大,因?yàn)楫?dāng)前的改革比過去更復(fù)雜?!?/p>


新華社引用中央黨校專家教授的話:任何政治改革都旨在“加強(qiáng),而不是削弱”組織的領(lǐng)導(dǎo)的能力。


蔡說,若再不改變政府的行為,如地方政府減少對(duì)商務(wù)貿(mào)易的干涉,經(jīng)濟(jì)改革基本上不能算是真正的成功。


他說:“你可以談?wù)摳鞣N各樣的經(jīng)濟(jì)政策的變化,但最后這些政策的變化是否影響中國(guó)的經(jīng)濟(jì),實(shí)際取決于政府是否有重大的改革措施。”


中國(guó)的領(lǐng)導(dǎo)階層說,作為世界第二大經(jīng)濟(jì)體,中國(guó)的經(jīng)濟(jì)需要減少對(duì)國(guó)有投資項(xiàng)目的依賴,利用消費(fèi)者的力量和其他私有企業(yè)來推動(dòng)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)。


香港經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家姚煒說:“真正考驗(yàn)中國(guó)改革決心的是接下來三到六個(gè)月內(nèi)采取的改革措施和行動(dòng)?!?/p>

(譯者 shltt 編輯 丹妮)

 

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