中央經(jīng)濟(jì)工作會(huì)議五大看點(diǎn)
中國(guó)日?qǐng)?bào)網(wǎng) 2014-12-12 13:56
中央經(jīng)濟(jì)工作會(huì)議(the Central Economic Work Conference)12月9日至11日在北京舉行。作為宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)政策的風(fēng)向標(biāo),中央經(jīng)濟(jì)工作會(huì)議會(huì)對(duì)今年經(jīng)濟(jì)形勢(shì)作出總結(jié),對(duì)明年經(jīng)濟(jì)工作進(jìn)行定調(diào),并對(duì)明年經(jīng)濟(jì)工作的主要任務(wù)作出部署。這也是“新常態(tài)”(new normal)思路提出后,召開(kāi)的首次中央經(jīng)濟(jì)工作會(huì)議,未來(lái)經(jīng)濟(jì)政策和改革思路如何闡述和部署,意義重大。
1.優(yōu)化區(qū)域格局
Optimizing regional pattern
One Belt And One Road became the important content of the optimizing regional patterns in the Central Economic Work Conference.
中央經(jīng)濟(jì)工作會(huì)議把“一帶一路”作為優(yōu)化區(qū)域格局的重要內(nèi)容。
中央經(jīng)濟(jì)工作會(huì)議明確優(yōu)化經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展空間格局是明年經(jīng)濟(jì)工作五大任務(wù)之一。要完善區(qū)域政策,促進(jìn)各地區(qū)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展、協(xié)同發(fā)展、共同發(fā)展。重點(diǎn)實(shí)施“一帶一路”、京津冀協(xié)同發(fā)展(integrated and coordinated development of Beijing , Tianjin and Hebei province)、長(zhǎng)江經(jīng)濟(jì)帶(Yangtze River economic belt)三大戰(zhàn)略。
2. 積極發(fā)現(xiàn)培育新增長(zhǎng)點(diǎn)
Developing new growth points
China should develop new growth points, as the country is full of new growth points and enormous potentials.
中國(guó)應(yīng)該發(fā)展新增長(zhǎng)點(diǎn),國(guó)內(nèi)存在大量新的增長(zhǎng)點(diǎn),潛力巨大。
今年的中央經(jīng)濟(jì)工作會(huì)議首次將“積極發(fā)現(xiàn)培育新增長(zhǎng)點(diǎn)”(develop new growth points)單列為主要任務(wù)之一, 會(huì)議提出努力保持經(jīng)濟(jì)穩(wěn)定增長(zhǎng)、積極發(fā)現(xiàn)培育新增長(zhǎng)點(diǎn),要促進(jìn)“三駕馬車(chē)”(Troika,即investment, consumption, exports)更均衡地拉動(dòng)增長(zhǎng),穩(wěn)重求進(jìn)(make progress while maintaining stability),這意味著明年消費(fèi)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)拉動(dòng)作用將進(jìn)一步提升。更加依賴(lài)市場(chǎng)作用,創(chuàng)新要落實(shí),政策要放寬。
3.加快改革
Speeding up reform
Reform will be sped up in administrative approval, investment, pricing, monopolies, franchising, government purchased services, and outbound investment.
中央經(jīng)濟(jì)工作會(huì)議提到,要加快行政審批、投資、價(jià)格、壟斷行業(yè)、特許經(jīng)營(yíng)、政府購(gòu)買(mǎi)服務(wù)、對(duì)外投資等領(lǐng)域改革。
國(guó)有企業(yè)的問(wèn)題(the problems of State-owned enterprises )將會(huì)得到改善,不斷提高國(guó)有企業(yè)的效率和核心競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力(efficiency and core competitiveness)。有業(yè)內(nèi)人士分析,當(dāng)前經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展模式由過(guò)去的政府主導(dǎo)型(government- dominated)向市場(chǎng)創(chuàng)新型艱難挺進(jìn),需要資本市場(chǎng)配合改革,進(jìn)行業(yè)務(wù)模式的創(chuàng)新,特別是在提高直接融資比重和穩(wěn)增長(zhǎng)方面,明年新股發(fā)行注冊(cè)制改革(IPO registration system reform)、創(chuàng)業(yè)板改革、轉(zhuǎn)板機(jī)制確立、資本市場(chǎng)對(duì)外開(kāi)放等方面值得期待。
4.積極財(cái)政政策要有力度
Stronger proactive fiscal policy
Continuity and stability are key to macroeconomic policies. The proactive fiscal policy should be stronger, according to the Central Economic Work Conference.
連續(xù)性和穩(wěn)定性是宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)政策的關(guān)鍵。今年中央經(jīng)濟(jì)工作會(huì)議提出,積極的財(cái)政政策要更有力度。
政府的支出結(jié)構(gòu)(spending structure)也將發(fā)生變化,通過(guò)公私合營(yíng)的模式(the public-private partnership model),會(huì)有更多的投資。專(zhuān)家表示,實(shí)施積極的財(cái)政政策,主基調(diào)是擴(kuò)張性的,財(cái)政赤字(financial deficit)將有所增加。
5.貨幣政策注重松緊適度
The monetary policy should be neither too tight nor too loose
The prudent monetary policy should be more focused on striking a proper balance between being tight and loose.
穩(wěn)健的貨幣政策要更注重在松緊之間取得適當(dāng)平衡。
今年中央經(jīng)濟(jì)工作會(huì)議對(duì)于明年貨幣政策基調(diào)的論述可謂“有舊有新”。不變的是“穩(wěn)健的貨幣政策”(the prudent monetary policy)被再次強(qiáng)調(diào),但外界更加關(guān)注此次出現(xiàn)的新表述——貨幣政策要更加注重松緊適度(The monetary policy should be neither too tight nor too loose)。業(yè)內(nèi)普遍認(rèn)為,這意味著明年貨幣政策基調(diào)將更為積極,即在條件允許的情況下,貨幣政策或?qū)⑦M(jìn)一步加大寬松力度。
(中國(guó)日?qǐng)?bào)網(wǎng)英語(yǔ)點(diǎn)津 劉秀紅)